METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Middleweight
VS
23%
Spicely
77%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:18
★ Official Result
Gerald MeerschaertwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:18
def. Eric Spicely · The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Meerschaert
→
Actual result
Meerschaert wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Meerschaert is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Spicely's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpicelyMeerschaert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spicely
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Spicely
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
56.7
43.8
Performance Avg
48.2
54
Quality of Victory
50
52
Momentum Score
91
Spicely
Meerschaert
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
8.4
0.6
Style: Volume
0.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
2
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance13
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Spicely
Meerschaert
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.1
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
9.2
2
Submission wins
11
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spicely
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Spicely
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
91
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Spicely
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
11
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spicely
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
SpicelyMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Spicely
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spicely targets the head (78% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Spicely absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spicely
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Spicely · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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