The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Lightweight
VS
65%
Nelson
35%
Roop
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nelson
Nelson holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Roop has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roop has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roop has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nelson
Roop
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Roop
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
9.4
45.5
Performance Avg
37.0
43
Quality of Victory
36
44
Momentum Score
0
Nelson
Roop
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.3
26%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch5
0Ground1
Nelson
Roop
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nelson
Roop
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Nelson
Roop
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
44
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Nelson
Roop
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Roop
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
NelsonRoop
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedRoop
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roop absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Roop targets the head (75% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Roop
0/0R00/0
Nelson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Roop · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Nelson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · KO · R1
Aaron RileyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
Roop · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Dustin KimuraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R2
Brian BowlesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05