UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
47%
Martin
53%
Aubin-Mercier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AR
Anthony Rocco Martin
17 – 6
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
OA
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
"The Canadian Gangster"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aubin-Mercier

This is a genuine toss-up — Martin at 47% vs Aubin-Mercier at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Martin throws more volume but Aubin-Mercier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Martin's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
19.4
45.3
Performance Avg
49.0
35
Quality of Victory
43
65
Momentum Score
61
Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
90
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/16 fights
Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
61
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martin
Aubin-Mercier
Striking2.3 / 2.6Volume5.6 / 3.5Grappling4.0 / 5.3Wrestling2.8 / 3.7Submission3.3 / 5.7Pressure4.9 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Martin
Strike Zones
Aubin-Mercier
Martin
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Aubin-Mercier
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Martin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Aubin-Mercier absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martin
RND
Aubin-Mercier
0/0R00/0

Martin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L3.7L5.0W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W6.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.1L2014-022016-012018-042019-062020-06
WinLossTrend

Aubin-Mercier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5L5.5W6.5W4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L7.1L2014-042015-082016-122018-072019-07
WinLossTrend

Martin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12

Aubin-Mercier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Evan DunhamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

News & Media

Anthony Rocco Martin · Olivier Aubin-Mercier
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