UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Rivera
54%
Lineker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:08
FR
Francisco Rivera
"Cisco"
11 – 7
5'8"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
JL
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31 – 9
Striker35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'3"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lineker

This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 46% vs Lineker at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Rivera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rivera's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rivera
Lineker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'3"
70"+
Reach
67"
44
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Lineker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
21.8
45.2
Performance Avg
56.0
49
Quality of Victory
43
69
Momentum Score
83
Rivera
Lineker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
21
1
Body
7
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance8
6Clinch9
1Ground11
Rivera
Lineker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
Lineker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Rivera
Lineker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
83
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Rivera
Lineker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
58%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rivera
Lineker
Striking8.3 / 6.5Volume2.8 / 4.8Grappling0.6 / 1.7Wrestling0.4 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.8Pressure6.5 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Rivera
Strike Zones
Lineker
Rivera
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD7BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Lineker
Attacking
21HEAD7BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (81% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Lineker targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rivera
RND
Lineker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.0L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.5L2011-062013-112015-062016-07
WinLossTrend

Lineker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.7W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.3W5.8W7.0L2012-052013-102015-092016-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Rivera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

News & Media

Francisco Rivera · John Lineker
← Back to fights