★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Johnson
53%
Cormier
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cormier
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 47% vs Cormier at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Cormier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson
Cormier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Cormier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
25.9
60.4
Performance Avg
68.1
55
Quality of Victory
61
100
Momentum Score
100
Johnson
Cormier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
55%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground3
Johnson
Cormier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Cormier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Johnson
Cormier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Johnson
Cormier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
64%
11
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Cormier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
JohnsonCormier
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCormier
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cormier targets the head (75% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Cormier
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Cormier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01