METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Kowalkiewicz
45%
Herrig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felice Herrig · UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kowalkiewicz
→
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kowalkiewicz at 55% vs Herrig at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczHerrig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
64"
Reach
+65"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
26.3
35.6
Performance Avg
41.4
28
Quality of Victory
36
40
Momentum Score
66
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
4.3
8.1
Style: Volume
5.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
28
5
Body
8
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance30
6Clinch8
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
KowalkiewiczHerrig
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedHerrig
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Herrig targets the head (74% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Herrig
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Herrig · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karolina KowalkiewiczSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Virna JandirobaSubmission
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezDecision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczDecision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyDecision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12