UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Kowalkiewicz
45%
Herrig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karolina
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
16 – 10
5'3"64" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 33
FH
Felice Herrig
"Lil Bulldog"
14 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kowalkiewicz

This is a genuine toss-up — Kowalkiewicz at 55% vs Herrig at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Kowalkiewicz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
64"
Reach
+65"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
26.3
35.6
Performance Avg
41.4
28
Quality of Victory
36
40
Momentum Score
66
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
28
5
Body
8
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance30
6Clinch8
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Striking0.9 / 1.0Volume8.1 / 5.8Grappling3.0 / 4.6Wrestling2.1 / 3.3Submission1.1 / 4.0Pressure2.2 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Kowalkiewicz
Strike Zones
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
30HEAD5BODY5LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD8BODY2LEGS38 absorbed
Herrig
Attacking
28HEAD8BODY2LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD5BODY5LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Herrig targets the head (74% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kowalkiewicz
RND
Herrig
0/0R00/0

Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.9W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W2.3L5.5L6.7L6.5L1.6L5.2W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.4L6.8L4.6L2015-122017-102020-022023-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Herrig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W5.5L5.0W5.7W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.2L2.8L2014-122017-022018-042022-06
WinLossTrend

Kowalkiewicz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Herrig · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Virna JandirobaRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

News & Media

Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Felice Herrig
← Back to fights