METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Kowalkiewicz
45%
Herrig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felice Herrig · UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kowalkiewicz
→
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kowalkiewicz at 55% vs Herrig at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kowalkiewicz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczHerrig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
64"
Reach
+65"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
26.3
35.6
Performance Avg
41.4
28
Quality of Victory
36
40
Momentum Score
66
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
28
5
Body
8
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance30
6Clinch8
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
KowalkiewiczHerrig
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedHerrig
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Herrig targets the head (74% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Herrig
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Herrig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Herrig · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Virna JandirobaRating 2.2Submission
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12