UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Lightweight
VS
52%
Trujillo
48%
Sims
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:18
AT
Abel Trujillo
"Killa"
15 – 8
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
TS
Tony Sims
12 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'11"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Trujillo

This is a genuine toss-up — Trujillo at 52% vs Sims at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sims has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Sims has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Trujillo
Sims
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Trujillo
Sims
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.4
19.5
51.4
Performance Avg
49.3
46
Quality of Victory
60
90
Momentum Score
43
Trujillo
Sims
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
68%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Trujillo
Sims
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trujillo
Sims
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Trujillo
Sims
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Trujillo
Sims
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trujillo
Sims
Striking6.2 / 10.0Volume2.5 / 0.7Grappling1.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Trujillo
Strike Zones
Sims
Trujillo
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Sims
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trujillo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sims absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sims targets the head (100% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trujillo
RND
Sims
0/0R00/0

Trujillo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.5L5.2W5.2W3.3L4.0W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L2012-122014-022016-012017-12
WinLossTrend

Sims · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.5L1.5L2015-062015-082016-01
WinLossTrend

Trujillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James VickRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony SimsRating 5
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison TibauRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11

Sims · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Steve MontgomeryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06

News & Media

Abel Trujillo · Tony Sims
← Back to fights