METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Featherweight
VS
59%
Murphy
41%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lerone MurphywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gabriel Santos · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Murphy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 59% vs Santos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurphySantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murphy
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
35
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
44.9
57.7
Performance Avg
41.0
36
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
71
Murphy
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
7.1
Style: Volume
5.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
8
5
Body
8
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
30Distance17
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Murphy
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Murphy
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Murphy
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Murphy
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MurphySantos
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedSantos
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (80% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (40% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
Santos · Last 4
W · Sub · R3
Jack JenkinsSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
YizhaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
David OnamaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03