UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Lightweight
VS
26%
Morales
74%
Medic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:05
OM
Omar Morales
"Venezuelan Fighter"
11 – 4
5'11"73" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Uros
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
13 – 3
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw71" reach6'1"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Medic

Medic is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Medic has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Morales
Medic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"+
Reach
71"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Morales
Medic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
71.6
32.1
Performance Avg
62.7
25
Quality of Victory
58
45
Momentum Score
100
Morales
Medic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
63%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
1
Body
5
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
15Distance22
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Morales
Medic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Medic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Morales
Medic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Morales
Medic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morales
Medic
Striking0.9 / 10.0Volume8.9 / 1.4Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 9.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
Morales
Strike Zones
Medic
Morales
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY8LEGS23 absorbed
Medic
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY8LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (75% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Medic targets the head (43% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morales
RND
Medic
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.7W6.5L4.5W3.2L4.6L6.8L2019-122020-102021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Medic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W2.7L5.2W6.0W4.4L5.1W2.5L5.6W6.0W6.0W2021-032023-072025-012026-02
WinLossTrend

Morales · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Uros MedicRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10

Medic · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Omar Morales · Uros Medic
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