UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Featherweight
VS
41%
Rosa
59%
Jaynes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CR
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
148
5'9"69" reachSwitch39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JJ
Justin Jaynes
"The Guitar Hero"
168
Knockout Artist4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jaynes

This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 41% vs Jaynes at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Jaynes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rosa
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
39
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
27.5
36.3
Performance Avg
44.0
35
Quality of Victory
60
20
Momentum Score
39
Rosa
Jaynes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
3
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance18
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Rosa
Jaynes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Rosa
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Rosa
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Jaynes
Striking0.8 / 10.0Volume5.6 / 0.4Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.3 / 0.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Rosa
Strike Zones
Jaynes
Rosa
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Jaynes
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (74% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W7.1L4.5W4.0L5.0W6.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.5L6.3L2014-102017-042021-022022-07
WinLossTrend

Jaynes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W4.0L1.7L4.8L5.5L2020-062020-082020-122021-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02

Jaynes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

News & Media

Charles Rosa · Justin Jaynes
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