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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Featherweight
VS
53%
Rosa
47%
Jaynes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CR
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
148
5'9"69" reachSwitch40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JJ
Justin Jaynes
"The Guitar Hero"
168
Knockout Artist4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Charles RosawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Jaynes · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
Actual result
Rosa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 53% vs Jaynes at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RosaJaynes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rosa
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
40
Age
+37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
17.5
36.3
Performance Avg
44.0
35
Quality of Victory
60
20
Momentum Score
39
Rosa
Jaynes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
7.6
5.6
Style: Volume
0.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
3
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance18
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Rosa
Jaynes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Rosa
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Rosa
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Jaynes
Striking0.8 / 10.0Volume5.6 / 0.4Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.3 / 0.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Rosa
Strike Zones
Jaynes
Rosa
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Jaynes
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (74% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel Wood
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin Jaynes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick Minner
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02

Jaynes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte Smith
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel Benitez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin Tucker
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank Camacho
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

News & Media

Charles Rosa · Justin Jaynes
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