UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Featherweight
VS
41%
Rosa
59%
Jaynes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jaynes
This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 41% vs Jaynes at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Jaynes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rosa
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
39
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
27.5
36.3
Performance Avg
44.0
35
Quality of Victory
60
20
Momentum Score
39
Rosa
Jaynes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
3
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance18
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Rosa
Jaynes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Rosa
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Rosa
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Jaynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
RosaJaynes
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedJaynes
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (74% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jaynes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
Jaynes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06