Julian Marquez vs Darren Stewart — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos

Winnipeg, Canada

16 Dec 2017

Middleweight

71%

Marquez

29%

Stewart

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 2:42

Julian Marquez

"The Cuban Missile Crisis"

9 – 6

6'2"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 41

Darren Stewart

"The Dentist"

12 – 8

Well-Rounded3-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"

CFR 17

★ Official Result

Julian MarquezwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:42

def. Darren Stewart · UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Marquez

→

Actual result

Marquez wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Marquez is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Marquez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MarquezStewart

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Marquez

Stewart

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'0"

72"

Reach

+74"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Marquez

Stewart

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

41.2

17.1

43.8

Performance Avg

42.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Marquez

Stewart

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.8

/ 10

4.8

/ 10

8.1

Style: Pressure

5.5

0.8

Style: Volume

4.0

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance6

6Clinch8

0Ground0

Marquez

Stewart

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Marquez

Stewart

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

4 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.3 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

8/15 fights

Chin rating based on

14/20 fights

Marquez

Stewart

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Marquez

Stewart

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquez

Stewart

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.8

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

8.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.5

0.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.0

Marquez

Strike Zones

Stewart

Marquez

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Stewart

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Marquez targets the head (91% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 91% of strikes there

🎯Stewart targets the head (86% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquez

RND

Stewart

0/0R00/0

Marquez · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Cody Brundage

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

L · KO · R1

Zach Reese

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

L · KO · R2

Marc-Andre Barriault

KO/TKO

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

L · KO · R1

Gregory Rodrigues

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

W · Sub · R2

Sam Alvey

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04

Stewart · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Dustin Jacoby

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

L · Dec · R3

Eryk Anders

Decision

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06

Upcoming

Eryk Anders

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03

L · Dec · R3

Kevin Holland

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

W · Sub · R1

Maki Pitolo

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Julian Marquez · Darren Stewart

← Back to fights