UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Middleweight
VS
63%
Marquez
37%
Stewart
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:42
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
6'2"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marquez
Marquez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Stewart has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marquez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Marquez
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marquez
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
26.9
43.8
Performance Avg
42.3
48
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
68
Marquez
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
6Clinch8
0Ground0
Marquez
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquez
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
46
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Marquez
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Marquez
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marquez
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
MarquezStewart
Strike Zones
Marquez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedStewart
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marquez targets the head (91% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (86% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marquez
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Marquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveyRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08