UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Bantamweight
VS
73%
Yahya
27%
Sanders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sanders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanders has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yahya
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
67"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Yahya
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
15.5
50.5
Performance Avg
41.8
39
Quality of Victory
45
39
Momentum Score
46
Yahya
Sanders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Yahya
Sanders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yahya
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Yahya
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Yahya
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
YahyaSanders
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSanders
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (100% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
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Sanders · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9Submission
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W · KO · R2
Renan BaraoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick WilliamsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04