UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Soszynski
46%
Bonnar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:08
KS
Krzysztof Soszynski
"The Polish Experiment"
26 – 12
6'1"77" reachOpen Stance48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
SB
Stephan Bonnar
"The American Psycho"
15 – 9
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Soszynski

This is a genuine toss-up — Soszynski at 54% vs Bonnar at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Soszynski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Soszynski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bonnar has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Soszynski
Bonnar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+79"
48+
Age
49
Open Stance
Stance
Orthodox
Soszynski
Bonnar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
16.5
50.5
Performance Avg
45.2
40
Quality of Victory
40
75
Momentum Score
48
Soszynski
Bonnar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
28
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance8
2Clinch13
0Ground11
Soszynski
Bonnar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soszynski
Bonnar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Soszynski
Bonnar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
48
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Soszynski
Bonnar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Soszynski
Bonnar
Striking3.0 / 3.6Volume4.0 / 5.1Grappling3.5 / 3.2Wrestling2.4 / 2.2Submission3.3 / 2.5Pressure5.5 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Soszynski
Strike Zones
Bonnar
Soszynski
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD2BODY2LEGS32 absorbed
Bonnar
Attacking
28HEAD2BODY2LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Soszynski targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bonnar targets the head (88% of attacks) — Soszynski absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Soszynski
RND
Bonnar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Soszynski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W1.5L2008-122009-082010-112011-12
WinLossTrend

Bonnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W7.3L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W1.5L2005-042006-062009-012010-122012-10
WinLossTrend

Soszynski · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R2
Stephan BonnarRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Bonnar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Krzysztof Soszynski · Stephan Bonnar
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