UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Featherweight
VS
62%
Hall
38%
Minner
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RH
Ryan Hall
"The Wizard"
9 – 2
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 36
DM
Darrick Minner
26 – 14
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hall

Hall holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Minner has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Hall throws more volume but Minner connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Minner has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hall
Minner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
41
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Minner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.0
22.0
60.8
Performance Avg
37.0
46
Quality of Victory
40
99
Momentum Score
45
Hall
Minner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
77%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
12
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
17Ground2
Hall
Minner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Minner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/40 fights
Hall
Minner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hall
Minner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hall
Minner
Striking1.7 / 0.7Volume8.1 / 4.7Grappling3.5 / 5.2Wrestling2.5 / 3.6Submission2.0 / 5.0Pressure3.9 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Hall
Strike Zones
Minner
Hall
Attacking
6HEAD12BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Minner
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD12BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the body (67% of attacks) — Minner absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Minner targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hall
RND
Minner
0/0R00/0

Hall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W3.9L4.5W2015-122016-122018-122019-072021-072021-12
WinLossTrend

Minner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.2L5.0W4.5W3.2L5.5L1.8L2020-022020-092021-022021-072021-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Hall · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
BJ PennRating 5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12

Minner · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Darren ElkinsRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Sub · R1
TJ LaramieRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

News & Media

Ryan Hall · Darrick Minner
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