UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Featherweight
VS
45%
Yusuff
55%
Lopes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lopes
This is a genuine toss-up — Yusuff at 45% vs Lopes at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Yusuff throws more volume but Lopes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Yusuff
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yusuff
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
61.4
48.9
Performance Avg
55.6
42
Quality of Victory
48
54
Momentum Score
69
Yusuff
Lopes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
21
0
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch5
0Ground18
Yusuff
Lopes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yusuff
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Yusuff
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Yusuff
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yusuff
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
YusuffLopes
Strike Zones
Yusuff
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedLopes
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yusuff targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (81% of attacks) — Yusuff absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yusuff
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Yusuff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lopes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Yusuff · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Don ShainisRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Lopes · Last 5
Upcoming
Steve GarciaUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

