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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Philadelphia, USA
15 Aug 2026
Middleweight
VS
64%
Abdul-Malik
36%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:25
Mansur
Mansur Abdul-Malik
91
6'2"80" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 67
Dustin
Dustin Stoltzfus
168
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 37
★ Official Result
Dustin StoltzfuswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:25
def. Mansur Abdul-Malik · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Abdul-Malik
Abdul-Malik by TKO, round one, walking Stoltzfus down and finishing against the
Actual result
Stoltzfus wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

The biggest ratings gap on the card, and the numbers are not being subtle about it.

Some fights are competitive puzzles. This one is a stylistic execution order. Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 72.7 composite rating — the third-highest on the entire card, above several fighters in title contention — against Dustin Stoltzfus at 34.6. That is the widest gap of the ten bouts in Philadelphia by a considerable margin. Abdul-Malik is 9-1-1 and rebounding from the first defeat of his care…

Abdul-Malik intel

Abdul-Malik is 9-1-1 and looking to bounce back from the first loss of his career, with a 93.9 momentum score and a 100 per cent finish rate. There are no reported injury concerns. He needs a fast, emphatic finish to reset the prospect narrative — and this is the matchup designed to give him one.

Stoltzfus intel

Stoltzfus enters at 16-8 with the lowest momentum score in the field (10.0) and a 26 chin rating that suggests real accumulated damage. He is a Contender Series alum and a durable pro, but everything in his profile points the wrong way. He needs to make this a grappling match immediately.

Key angles

The widest composite rating gap on the card (38.1 points)

Abdul-Malik's card-topping 9.25 pressure score against a 26 chin

Whether Stoltzfus can get an early takedown before the pressure builds

Abdul-Malik's response to his first career loss

Five-inch reach advantage in a pressure fight

Risk flags

Abdul-Malik is coming off his first defeat and prospects sometimes fight tentatively after a loss

Stoltzfus' grappling rating exceeds Abdul-Malik's — one clean takedown changes the fight

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
Abdul-MalikStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
75"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.6
37.1
57.8
Performance Avg
42.1
56
Quality of Victory
46
85
Momentum Score
10
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
6.3
1.2
Style: Volume
2.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
7
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance4
9Clinch6
3Ground4
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Abdul-Malik
Stoltzfus
Striking7.9 / 3.2Volume1.2 / 2.7Grappling2.7 / 4.6Wrestling1.9 / 3.2Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure8.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Abdul-Malik
Strike Zones
Stoltzfus
Abdul-Malik
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Stoltzfus
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Abdul-Malik targets the head (64% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (79% of attacks) — Abdul-Malik absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Abdul-Malik
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0

Abdul-Malik · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Dustin Stoltzfus
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Yousri Belgaroui
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Sub · R1
Antonio Trocoli
Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
Upcoming
Cody Brundage
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Nick Klein
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Stoltzfus · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton Ruziboev
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre Barriault
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno Ferreira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

News & Media

Mansur Abdul-Malik · Dustin Stoltzfus
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