UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Middleweight
VS
51%
Magomedov
49%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Shara
Shara Magomedov
"Bullet"
16 – 1
6'2"73" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Bruno
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
23 – 13
Knockout Artist5-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magomedov

This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 51% vs Silva at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Magomedov
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
61.6
54.9
Performance Avg
49.0
36
Quality of Victory
58
99
Momentum Score
91
Magomedov
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.9
68%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
8Clinch1
12Ground10
Magomedov
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Magomedov
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
91
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Magomedov
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magomedov
Silva
Striking5.7 / 10.0Volume6.5 / 0.7Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Magomedov
Strike Zones
Silva
Magomedov
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magomedov
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Magomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8W5.5W5.5W5.2W6.3L4.5W2023-102024-062024-082024-102025-022025-07
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5W5.0W7.6L5.1L5.0W2.8L7.0L6.3L6.0L1.5L2021-062022-032023-062024-102025-05
WinLossTrend

Magomedov · Last 5

Upcoming
Michel Pereira
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R2
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Shara Magomedov · Bruno Silva
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