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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Middleweight
VS
51%
Magomedov
49%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Shara
Shara Magomedov
"Bullet"
161
6'2"73" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Bruno
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
2313
Knockout Artist5-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 62
★ Official Result
Shara MagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bruno Silva · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 51% vs Silva at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Risk flags

Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagomedovSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Magomedov
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.5
61.6
54.8
Performance Avg
49.0
34
Quality of Victory
58
99
Momentum Score
91
Magomedov
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
8.1
7.0
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
8Clinch1
12Ground10
Magomedov
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Magomedov
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Magomedov
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magomedov
Silva
Striking5.0 / 10.0Volume7.0 / 0.7Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Magomedov
Strike Zones
Silva
Magomedov
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magomedov
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Magomedov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Michel Pereira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre Barriault
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael Page
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R2
Armen Petrosyan
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre Barriault
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail Naurdiev
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris Weidman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara Magomedov
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan Allen
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Shara Magomedov · Bruno Silva
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