UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Welterweight
VS
87%
Burkman
13%
Reiner
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burkman
Burkman is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burkman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Burkman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman
Reiner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Reiner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
2.1
34.7
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
80
Momentum Score
0
Burkman
Reiner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
17%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
2
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
4Clinch1
4Ground0
Burkman
Reiner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burkman
Reiner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
2/51 fights
Burkman
Reiner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Burkman
Reiner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burkman
Reiner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BurkmanReiner
Strike Zones
Burkman
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedReiner
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the head (38% of attacks) — Reiner absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Reiner targets the body (50% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burkman
RND
Reiner
0/0R00/0
Burkman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Reiner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Reiner · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01