UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Flyweight
VS
43%
Gaudinot
57%
Lineker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lineker
This is a genuine toss-up — Gaudinot at 43% vs Lineker at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lineker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Gaudinot
Lineker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gaudinot
Lineker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
21.8
39.7
Performance Avg
56.0
50
Quality of Victory
43
36
Momentum Score
83
Gaudinot
Lineker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
23
4
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance30
1Clinch2
9Ground0
Gaudinot
Lineker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gaudinot
Lineker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Gaudinot
Lineker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
83
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Gaudinot
Lineker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gaudinot
Lineker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
GaudinotLineker
Strike Zones
Gaudinot
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedLineker
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gaudinot targets the head (83% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Lineker targets the head (72% of attacks) — Gaudinot absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gaudinot
RND
Lineker
0/0R00/0
Gaudinot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Lineker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Gaudinot · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
Upcoming
Phil HarrisUFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R2
John LinekerRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · KO · R3
Johnny BedfordRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · 2011-12
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10