UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008
Las Vegas, USA
27 Dec 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
90%
Hamill
10%
Andy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:19
MH
Matt Hamill
"The Hammer"
12 – 8
6'1"76" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
RA
Reese Andy
"Riptide"
7 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide53 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hamill

Hamill is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hamill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Hamill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hamill
Andy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
49+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Andy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.1
51.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Hamill
Andy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
33%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance2
3Clinch1
8Ground0
Hamill
Andy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Andy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Hamill
Andy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hamill
Andy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hamill
Andy
Striking6.3 / 0.0Volume4.5 / 0.0Grappling1.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hamill
Strike Zones
Andy
Hamill
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Andy
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (80% of attacks) — Andy absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Andy targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hamill
RND
Andy
0/0R00/0

Hamill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W5.0W5.8W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L2006-062008-042009-122011-082013-10
WinLossTrend

Andy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L2.8L2008-072008-12
WinLossTrend

Hamill · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

Andy · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Matt HamillRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07

News & Media

Matt Hamill · Reese Andy
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