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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008
Las Vegas, USA
27 Dec 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
90%
Hamill
10%
Andy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:19
MH
Matt Hamill
"The Hammer"
128
6'1"76" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
RA
Reese Andy
"Riptide"
73
Well-Rounded2-fight slide53 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Matt HamillwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:19
def. Reese Andy · UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hamill
Actual result
Hamill wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Hamill is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hamill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Risk flags

Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HamillAndy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hamill
Andy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
49+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Andy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.1
51.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Hamill
Andy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.5
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance2
3Clinch1
8Ground0
Hamill
Andy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Andy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Hamill
Andy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hamill
Andy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hamill
Andy
Striking6.3 / 0.0Volume4.5 / 0.0Grappling1.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hamill
Strike Zones
Andy
Hamill
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Andy
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (80% of attacks) — Andy absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Andy targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hamill
RND
Andy
0/0R00/0

Hamill · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger Hollett
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander Gustafsson
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton Jackson
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito Ortiz
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

Andy · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Matt Hamill
KO/TKO
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
L · Dec · R3
Brandon Vera
Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07

News & Media

Matt Hamill · Reese Andy
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