UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
92%
Souza
8%
Frota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LS
Livinha Souza
"The Brazilian Gangsta"
14 – 4
5'3"63" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
SF
Sarah Frota
"A Treta"
9 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'6"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Souza

Souza is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Striking split: Frota throws more volume but Souza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Souza
Frota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+69"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Frota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
2.1
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Souza
Frota
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Souza
Frota
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Souza
Frota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Souza
Frota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Souza
Frota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Frota
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume6.3 / 0.0Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Souza
Strike Zones
Frota
Souza
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Frota
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (57% of attacks) — Frota absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Frota targets the head (71% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Frota
0/0R00/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.6L5.5L2018-092019-022019-072020-082021-032021-10
WinLossTrend

Frota · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L4.0L2019-022019-07
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Amanda LemosRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Brianna FortinoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Sarah FrotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Frota · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

News & Media

Livinha Souza · Sarah Frota
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