METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Tuivasa
41%
Hardy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:07
★ Official Result
Tai TuivasawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:07
def. Greg Hardy · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Tuivasa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 59% vs Hardy at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
75"
Reach
+80"
33+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
29.7
50.4
Performance Avg
47.8
54
Quality of Victory
50
20
Momentum Score
76
Tuivasa
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
8.4
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
6.6
1.9
Style: Volume
2.9
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
0
Body
0
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Tuivasa
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
10/12 fights
Tuivasa
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
76
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Tuivasa
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
75%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuivasa
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
TuivasaHardy
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHardy
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Hardy targets the head (83% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuivasa
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tuivasa · Last 5
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