UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Lightweight
VS
61%
Ray
39%
Ayari
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SR
Stevie Ray
"Braveheart"
23 – 9
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JA
Jessin Ayari
16 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ray

Ray holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Ayari has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ray
Ayari
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Ayari
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
9.7
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
28
Ray
Ayari
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
21
4
Body
1
15
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance24
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Ray
Ayari
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Ayari
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Ray
Ayari
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
28
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ray
Ayari
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ray
Ayari
Striking4.1 / 0.5Volume7.0 / 8.5Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Ray
Strike Zones
Ayari
Ray
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY15LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Ayari
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY15LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Ayari absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Ayari targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ray
RND
Ayari
0/0R00/0

Ray · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W1.6L4.6W2015-042016-092017-072019-062019-10
WinLossTrend

Ayari · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2016-092017-052018-102020-10
WinLossTrend

Ray · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

Ayari · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Luigi VendraminiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Jim WallheadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

News & Media

Stevie Ray · Jessin Ayari
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