METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Lightweight
VS
61%
Ray
39%
Ayari
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stevie RaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jessin Ayari · UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ray
→
Actual result
Ray wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ray holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Ayari has real paths to victory.
Risk flags
Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RayAyari
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ray
Ayari
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Ayari
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
9.7
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
28
Ray
Ayari
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
0.8
7.0
Style: Volume
8.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
21
4
Body
1
15
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance24
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Ray
Ayari
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Ayari
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Ray
Ayari
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
28
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ray
Ayari
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ray
Ayari
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RayAyari
Strike Zones
Ray
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedAyari
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Ayari absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Ayari targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ray
RND
Ayari
0/0R00/0
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Ayari · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Luigi VendraminiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Jim WallheadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09