Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger vs Nina Nunes

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn

Phoenix, USA

15 Jan 2017

Women's Strawweight

Jones-Lybarger

91%

Nunes

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 3:39

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger

6 – 4

5'7"64" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 2

Nina Nunes

11 – 7

Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"

CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

Nunes is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'5"

64"

Reach

64"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

2.4

25.7

0.0

Performance Avg

39.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

1.2

1.7

31%

Strike Accuracy

44%

0.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

1.1

0 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

7Distance8

2Clinch2

0Ground4

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.1

0.0

Grappling Style Score (/10)

3.5

0.0

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

2.5

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

3/10 fights

Chin rating based on

9/18 fights

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

20%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones-Lybarger

Nunes

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.1

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.5

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.5

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

0.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.1

0.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.5

Jones-Lybarger

Strike Zones

Nunes

Jones-Lybarger

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Nunes

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Jones-Lybarger targets the head (89% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 89% of strikes there

🎯Nunes targets the head (71% of attacks) — Jones-Lybarger absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones-Lybarger

RND

Nunes

0/0R00/0

Jones-Lybarger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2

WinLossTrend

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0

WinLossTrend

Jones-Lybarger · Last 3

L · Sub · R3

Nina NunesRating 4

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

L · Dec · R3

Randa MarkosRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

L · Dec · R3

Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2

Decision

UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Cynthia CalvilloRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08

L · Sub · R1

Mackenzie DernRating 2.7

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04

L · Dec · R3

Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4

Decision

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06

W · Dec · R3

Claudia GadelhaRating 4.5

Decision

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12

W · Dec · R3

Randa MarkosRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

News & Media

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger · Nina Nunes

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