METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Preux
46%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:11
★ Official Result
Ovince Saint PreuxwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:11
def. Marcos Rogerio de Lima · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Preux
→
Actual result
Preux wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 54% vs Lima at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PreuxLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Preux
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
43
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Preux
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
39.4
50.2
Performance Avg
53.8
48
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
59
Preux
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
6.9
3.2
Style: Volume
3.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Preux
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Preux
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Preux
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Preux
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
PreuxLima
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLima
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the body (50% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannSubmission
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Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
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