UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Preux
50%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Preux
This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 50% vs Lima at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lima has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Preux
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
43
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Preux
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
47.3
50.2
Performance Avg
53.8
48
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
59
Preux
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Preux
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Preux
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Preux
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Preux
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
PreuxLima
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLima
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the body (50% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

