UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Preux
50%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:11
Ovince
Ovince Saint Preux
2718
6'3"80" reachSouthpaw43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Marcos
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
2210
Striker40 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Preux

This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 50% vs Lima at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lima has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Preux
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
43
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Preux
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
47.3
50.2
Performance Avg
53.8
48
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
59
Preux
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Preux
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Preux
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Preux
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Preux
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Preux
Lima
Striking5.1 / 6.7Volume3.2 / 3.4Grappling3.3 / 2.1Wrestling2.3 / 1.5Submission3.3 / 1.8Pressure6.7 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Preux
Strike Zones
Lima
Preux
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the body (50% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Preux
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Preux · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W6.2W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L4.5W7.3L2.8L6.3L5.9W5.0W5.5W1.5L6.0W6.5L4.0L6.2W5.5L6.1W4.0L3.4L4.5W2.2L5.8W1.9L2013-042015-082017-112020-092024-10
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W2.7L5.0W1.5L5.0W3.3L4.5W2.8L5.0W2.3L4.5W5.0W5.5L5.7W6.0W2.7L6.1W2014-052017-012020-112023-042024-02
WinLossTrend

Preux · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

Lima · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Ovince Saint Preux · Marcos Rogerio de Lima
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