METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Welterweight
VS
36%
Akiyama
64%
Shields
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake ShieldswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yoshihiro Akiyama · UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shields
→
Actual result
Shields wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Shields holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Akiyama has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Akiyama has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Akiyama's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AkiyamaShields
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Akiyama
Shields
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akiyama
Shields
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.3
14.8
26.4
Performance Avg
37.9
25
Quality of Victory
25
10
Momentum Score
65
Akiyama
Shields
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
1
Body
6
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance26
3Clinch1
0Ground1
Akiyama
Shields
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akiyama
Shields
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/40 fights
Akiyama
Shields
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
65
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Akiyama
Shields
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akiyama
Shields
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.7
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.1
AkiyamaShields
Strike Zones
Akiyama
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedShields
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akiyama targets the head (83% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Shields targets the head (50% of attacks) — Akiyama absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akiyama
RND
Shields
0/0R00/0
Akiyama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Shields · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Akiyama · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alberto MinaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Jake ShieldsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Shields · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed HermanUFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02