METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
54%
Miller
46%
Hardy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Veronica HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Juliana Miller · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 54% vs Hardy at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Hardy has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.9
41.4
44.9
Performance Avg
38.5
42
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
55
Miller
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
2.9
3.7
Style: Volume
7.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
2
Body
9
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
1Distance7
2Clinch0
0Ground13
Miller
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Miller
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
55
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
MillerHardy
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHardy
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the body (67% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hardy targets the body (45% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03