UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
35%
Villante
65%
Herman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
6'3"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Villante has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Villante throws more volume but Herman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Villante
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
40+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
38.7
40.8
Performance Avg
47.4
42
Quality of Victory
44
33
Momentum Score
82
Villante
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
1
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Villante
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Villante
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Villante
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
69%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Villante
Herman
Striking6.5 / 4.1Volume4.2 / 3.5Grappling1.0 / 3.8Wrestling0.7 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.9Pressure5.2 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Villante
Strike Zones
Herman
Villante
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY3LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY3LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (83% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Villante
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Gian Villante · Ed Herman
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