METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Heavyweight
VS
52%
Werdum
48%
Harris
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:05
★ Official Result
Fabricio WerdumwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:05
def. Walt Harris · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Werdum
→
Actual result
Werdum wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Werdum at 52% vs Harris at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WerdumHarris
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Werdum
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
77"
49
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Werdum
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
18.9
57.8
Performance Avg
51.0
52
Quality of Victory
58
72
Momentum Score
65
Werdum
Harris
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
8.2
4.0
Style: Volume
0.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Werdum
Harris
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Werdum
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Werdum
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
65
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Werdum
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05