UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
48%
Duke
52%
Phillips
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
Jessamyn Duke
"The Gun"
3 – 5
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
EP
Elizabeth Phillips
6 – 6
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Phillips

This is a genuine toss-up — Duke at 48% vs Phillips at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Duke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Duke
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duke
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
9.5
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
17
Momentum Score
17
Duke
Phillips
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
11
4
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance13
7Clinch0
1Ground0
Duke
Phillips
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Duke
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Duke
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duke
Phillips
Striking0.5 / 0.5Volume8.5 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Duke
Strike Zones
Phillips
Duke
Attacking
21HEAD4BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Phillips
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD4BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (81% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (85% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duke
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0

Duke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2013-112014-042014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Phillips · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5L4.5W6.1L2014-062014-082015-072016-08
WinLossTrend

Duke · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

Phillips · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessamyn DukeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Milana DudievaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Valerie LetourneauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06

News & Media

Jessamyn Duke · Elizabeth Phillips
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