METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
48%
Duke
52%
Phillips
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Elizabeth PhillipswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jessamyn Duke · UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Phillips
→
Actual result
Phillips wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Duke at 48% vs Phillips at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Duke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DukePhillips
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duke
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
65"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duke
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
9.5
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
17
Momentum Score
17
Duke
Phillips
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
0.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
11
4
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance13
7Clinch0
1Ground0
Duke
Phillips
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Duke
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Duke
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duke
Phillips
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
DukePhillips
Strike Zones
Duke
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedPhillips
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (81% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (85% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duke
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0
Duke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Phillips · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Duke · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
Phillips · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessamyn DukeRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Milana DudievaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Valerie LetourneauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06