METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Featherweight
VS
55%
Sicilia
45%
Meza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Sam Sicilia
15 – 8
5'8"67" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 16
YM
Yaotzin Meza
21 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Sam SiciliawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yaotzin Meza · UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sicilia
→
Actual result
Sicilia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sicilia at 55% vs Meza at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sicilia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sicilia's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SiciliaMeza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sicilia
Meza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+71"
40+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sicilia
Meza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
13.2
43.7
Performance Avg
35.7
45
Quality of Victory
37
59
Momentum Score
26
Sicilia
Meza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Sicilia
Meza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sicilia
Meza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Sicilia
Meza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Sicilia
Meza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sicilia
Meza
Striking6.8 / 0.7Volume4.0 / 4.7Grappling1.0 / 5.2Wrestling0.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure5.5 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Sicilia
Strike Zones
Meza
Sicilia
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Meza
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sicilia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meza targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sicilia
RND
Meza
0/0R00/0

Sicilia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L5.0W4.5W3.3L2.9L5.5L2012-062013-112014-092015-112017-02
WinLossTrend

Meza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L6.9L2012-122013-072014-062015-042015-072016-02
WinLossTrend

Sicilia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Meza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Sam SiciliaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Damian StasiakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Chico Camus
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01

News & Media

Sam Sicilia · Yaotzin Meza
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