METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Lightweight
VS
94%
Rebecki
6%
Prepolec
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:41
★ Official Result
Mateusz RebeckiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:41
def. Kyle Prepolec · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rebecki
→
Actual result
Rebecki wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Rebecki is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rebecki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Risk flags
Rebecki's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prepolec has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RebeckiPrepolec
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rebecki
Prepolec
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+70"
33+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Rebecki
Prepolec
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.1
3.2
48.5
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Rebecki
Prepolec
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.3
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
71
Head
1
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance1
0Clinch0
68Ground1
Rebecki
Prepolec
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rebecki
Prepolec
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
40
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Rebecki
Prepolec
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rebecki
Prepolec
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rebecki
Prepolec
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RebeckiPrepolec
Strike Zones
Rebecki
Attacking
75 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPrepolec
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
75 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rebecki targets the head (95% of attacks) — Prepolec absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Prepolec targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rebecki absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rebecki
RND
Prepolec
0/0R00/0
Rebecki · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
Prepolec · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mateusz RebeckiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebDecision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05