UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Featherweight
VS
77%
Pineda
23%
Whiteford
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pineda
Pineda is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Pineda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pineda's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pineda
Whiteford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pineda
Whiteford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
15.4
47.4
Performance Avg
41.5
53
Quality of Victory
43
85
Momentum Score
33
Pineda
Whiteford
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Pineda
Whiteford
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
6.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pineda
Whiteford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/45 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Pineda
Whiteford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Pineda
Whiteford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pineda
Whiteford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PinedaWhiteford
Strike Zones
Pineda
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWhiteford
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pineda targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Whiteford absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Whiteford targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pineda
RND
Whiteford
0/0R00/0
Pineda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Whiteford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pineda · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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Whiteford · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lucas MartinsRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R2
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