METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Welterweight
VS
60%
Northcutt
40%
Ottow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:13
★ Official Result
Sage NorthcuttwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:13
def. Zak Ottow · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Northcutt
→
Actual result
Northcutt wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Northcutt holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ottow has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ottow has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NorthcuttOttow
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Northcutt
Ottow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
30+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Northcutt
Ottow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
14.1
54.0
Performance Avg
40.2
40
Quality of Victory
34
89
Momentum Score
53
Northcutt
Ottow
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
3.3
5.5
Style: Volume
7.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
8Clinch1
4Ground1
Northcutt
Ottow
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Northcutt
Ottow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Northcutt
Ottow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
53
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Northcutt
Ottow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Northcutt
Ottow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
NorthcuttOttow
Strike Zones
Northcutt
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOttow
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Northcutt targets the head (71% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Ottow targets the head (50% of attacks) — Northcutt absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Northcutt
RND
Ottow
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Northcutt · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Zak OttowKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Thibault GoutiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Michel QuinonesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Sub · R2
Mickey GallSubmission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Enrique MarinDecision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Ottow · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11