UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Mesquita
39%
Alekseeva
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:14
Bia
Bia Mesquita
"The Lady GOAT"
7 – 0
5'4"67" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 79
Irina
Irina Alekseeva
"Russian Ronda"
5 – 4
Submission Hunter3-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mesquita

Mesquita holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Alekseeva has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Alekseeva throws more volume but Mesquita connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Mesquita
Alekseeva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
79.2
51.1
71.0
Performance Avg
42.4
52
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/7 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mesquita
Alekseeva
Striking2.0 / 0.5Volume2.0 / 0.5Grappling8.0 / 8.0Wrestling5.6 / 5.6Submission10.0 / 10.0Pressure10.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Mesquita
Strike Zones
Alekseeva
Mesquita
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Alekseeva
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alekseeva targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Mesquita absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mesquita
RND
Alekseeva
0/0R00/0

Mesquita · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1W5.1W2025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Alekseeva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.0W6.2L5.9L5.0L2023-042023-102025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Mesquita · Last 3

Upcoming
Melissa Mullins
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Montse RendonRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Irina AlekseevaRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

Alekseeva · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Bia MesquitaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Klaudia SygulaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Melissa MullinsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Stephanie EggerRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04

News & Media

Bia Mesquita · Irina Alekseeva
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