METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Mesquita
39%
Alekseeva
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:14
CFR 80
★ Official Result
Bia MesquitawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:14
def. Irina Alekseeva · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mesquita
→
Actual result
Mesquita wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Mesquita holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Alekseeva has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MesquitaAlekseeva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
79.6
51.1
71.5
Performance Avg
42.4
53
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
7.8
2.0
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/7 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mesquita
Alekseeva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MesquitaAlekseeva
Strike Zones
Mesquita
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAlekseeva
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alekseeva targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Mesquita absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mesquita
RND
Alekseeva
0/0R00/0
Mesquita · Last 3
W · Sub · R1
Melissa MullinsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Montse RendonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Irina AlekseevaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
Alekseeva · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Bia MesquitaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Klaudia SygulaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Melissa MullinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Stephanie EggerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04