UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa
London, United Kingdom
8 Mar 2014
Welterweight
VS
83%
Araujo
17%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IA
Igor Araujo
25 – 9
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
DM
Danny Mitchell
"The Cheesecake Assassin"
19 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Araujo

Araujo is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Araujo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Mitchell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Araujo
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Araujo
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
2.7
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Araujo
Mitchell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
5Ground7
Araujo
Mitchell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Araujo
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/34 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Araujo
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Araujo
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Araujo
Mitchell
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Araujo
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Araujo
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Mitchell
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Araujo targets the head (86% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (78% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Araujo
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W2.8L6.6L2013-102014-032014-092015-07
WinLossTrend

Mitchell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2014-032014-08
WinLossTrend

Araujo · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
George SullivanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Danny MitchellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

Mitchell · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Sai WangRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03

News & Media

Igor Araujo · Danny Mitchell
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