METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Cincinnati, USA
20 Oct 2007
Middleweight
VS
55%
Maia
45%
Jensen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:40
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:40
def. Ryan Jensen · UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 55% vs Jensen at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jensen has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaJensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Jensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Jensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
17.1
50.8
Performance Avg
42.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
59
Maia
Jensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.8
5.0
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Maia
Jensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
11
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Jensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Maia
Jensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Maia
Jensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Jensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MaiaJensen
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJensen
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jensen absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Jensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Jensen
0/0R00/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodSubmission
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Jensen · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason MacDonaldSubmission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Sub · R3
Court McGeeSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R1
Jesse ForbesSubmission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mark MunozKO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Steve SteinbeissSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09