UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Cincinnati, USA
20 Oct 2007
Middleweight
VS
65%
Maia
35%
Jensen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:40
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
RJ
Ryan Jensen
21 – 8
Submission Hunter2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Jensen has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Jensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jensen has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Jensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Jensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
17.1
50.8
Performance Avg
42.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
59
Maia
Jensen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Maia
Jensen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Jensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Maia
Jensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Maia
Jensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Jensen
Striking1.8 / 0.5Volume5.0 / 0.5Grappling5.1 / 8.0Wrestling3.6 / 5.6Submission5.0 / 10.0Pressure5.8 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Maia
Strike Zones
Jensen
Maia
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Jensen
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jensen absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Jensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Jensen
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Jensen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0101.5L1.5L2.8L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.2L1.5L2007-082008-092010-012010-102011-04
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Jensen · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Sub · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.2
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R1
Jesse ForbesRating 5
Submission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mark MunozRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Steve SteinbeissRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09

News & Media

Demian Maia · Ryan Jensen
← Back to fights