METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2014
Women's Strawweight
VS
57%
Rawlings
43%
Clark
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Heather ClarkwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bec Rawlings · The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rawlings
→
Actual result
Clark wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rawlings at 57% vs Clark at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rawlings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Rawlings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RawlingsClark
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rawlings
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
64"
37+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rawlings
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
11.3
35.1
Performance Avg
28.3
40
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
33
Rawlings
Clark
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
16
4
Body
8
10
Leg
4
RangeRange
32Distance21
12Clinch7
0Ground0
Rawlings
Clark
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rawlings
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Rawlings
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rawlings
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rawlings
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
RawlingsClark
Strike Zones
Rawlings
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedClark
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rawlings targets the head (68% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (57% of attacks) — Rawlings absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rawlings
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Rawlings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Rawlings · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ashlee Evans-SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
Clark · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12