UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Featherweight
VS
53%
Miller
47%
Siler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 53% vs Siler at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Siler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller
Siler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Siler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
15.5
49.0
Performance Avg
44.9
47
Quality of Victory
38
49
Momentum Score
36
Miller
Siler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
31%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
4
Body
7
10
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance21
7Clinch1
2Ground0
Miller
Siler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Siler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/45 fights
Miller
Siler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Siler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Siler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
MillerSiler
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedSiler
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (46% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Siler targets the head (55% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Siler
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Siler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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