METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
66%
Oliveira
34%
Medeiros
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:02
★ Official Result
Yancy MedeiroswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:02
def. Alex Oliveira · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Medeiros wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Medeiros has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.9
15.6
46.5
Performance Avg
45.4
43
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Oliveira
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
7.1
4.0
Style: Volume
2.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance9
0Clinch4
1Ground3
Oliveira
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Oliveira
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Oliveira
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
OliveiraMedeiros
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (90% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (81% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
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Randy BrownSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12