UFC 69: Shootout
Houston, USA
7 Apr 2007
Middleweight
VS
57%
Leites
43%
Sell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Leites
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 57% vs Sell at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sell has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Leites
Sell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Sell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
12.4
48.8
Performance Avg
32.4
40
Quality of Victory
35
35
Momentum Score
50
Leites
Sell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
1Clinch0
7Ground1
Leites
Sell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leites
Sell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Leites
Sell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
50
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Leites
Sell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Sell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
LeitesSell
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSell
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sell absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sell targets the head (50% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Sell
0/0R00/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Sell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
Nate QuarryRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · KO · R2
Scott SmithRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11