UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Welterweight
VS
92%
Yoshida
8%
Wolff
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yoshida
Yoshida is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yoshida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Yoshida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yoshida's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wolff has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yoshida
Wolff
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
52
Age
+50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Yoshida
Wolff
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
1.8
48.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Yoshida
Wolff
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Yoshida
Wolff
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yoshida
Wolff
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Yoshida
Wolff
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Yoshida
Wolff
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yoshida
Wolff
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
YoshidaWolff
Strike Zones
Yoshida
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWolff
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yoshida targets the body (100% of attacks) — Wolff absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wolff targets the body (100% of attacks) — Yoshida absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yoshida
RND
Wolff
0/0R00/0
Yoshida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Wolff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Yoshida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike GuymonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · Sub · R1
Brandon WolffRating 5Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
War MachineRating 5Submission
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
Wolff · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Yoshiyuki YoshidaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12