UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Lightweight
VS
47%
Dober
53%
Silva
Win Probability
Drew
Drew Dober
29 – 15
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Jean
Jean Silva
"Lord"
17 – 3
Striker29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 67

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 47% vs Silva at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dober
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dober
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
66.7
53.2
Performance Avg
61.7
50
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
87
Dober
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
57%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
11 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Dober
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Dober
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R3
Dober
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
11
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dober
Silva
Striking8.5 / 6.7Volume2.8 / 3.0Grappling1.0 / 1.7Wrestling0.7 / 1.2Submission0.7 / 1.7Pressure7.3 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Dober
Strike Zones
Silva
Dober
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (56% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dober
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Dober · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W3.7L5.0W5.7W6.1W6.0L5.5L6.5W5.5W6.0W1.7L5.1W6.3L7.1L3.6L5.5W5.3W2013-112017-072021-032024-022026-03
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W6.0W5.7W5.5W6.3W3.4L5.9W2024-012024-072025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Dober · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Drew Dober · Jean Silva
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