Ricky Simon vs Brian Kelleher — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns

Las Vegas, USA

13 Feb 2021

Featherweight

54%

Simon

46%

Kelleher

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Ricky Simon

22 – 7

5'6"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Brian Kelleher

"Boom"

24 – 16

Well-Rounded4-fight slide40 yrsSwitch66" reach5'6"

CFR 41

★ Official Result

Ricky SimonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Brian Kelleher · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Simon

→

Actual result

Simon wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 54% vs Kelleher at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kelleher has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SimonKelleher

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Simon

Kelleher

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

5'6"

69"+

Reach

66"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Simon

Kelleher

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

48.8

40.8

48.0

Performance Avg

44.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Simon

Kelleher

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

3.4

/ 10

5.4

Style: Pressure

5.8

5.3

Style: Volume

3.9

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance3

2Clinch0

4Ground0

Simon

Kelleher

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.6

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

2.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.7

3.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Simon

Kelleher

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

7 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

18/29 fights

Chin rating based on

17/40 fights

Simon

Kelleher

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Simon

Kelleher

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

63%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Simon

Kelleher

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.4

3.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.9

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.7

3.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.8

5.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.8

5.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.9

Simon

Strike Zones

Kelleher

Simon

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Kelleher

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Simon targets the head (57% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 57% of strikes there

🎯Kelleher targets the head (33% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Simon

RND

Kelleher

0/0R00/0

Simon · Last 5

Upcoming

Montel Jackson

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Adrian Yanez

Decision

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Raoni Barcelos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Cameron Smotherman

Decision

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Javid Basharat

KO/TKO

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Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Cody Gibson

Submission

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Cody Garbrandt

KO/TKO

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L · Sub · R1

Mario Bautista

Submission

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Umar Nurmagomedov

Submission

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Kevin Croom

Decision

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News & Media

Ricky Simon · Brian Kelleher

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