UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
30%
Cooper
70%
Calvillo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Calvillo
Calvillo is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Calvillo throws more volume but Cooper connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cooper's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cooper
Calvillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
64"
Reach
64"
34+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cooper
Calvillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.9
29.8
37.3
Performance Avg
42.8
40
Quality of Victory
38
20
Momentum Score
25
Cooper
Calvillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
6
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cooper
Calvillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cooper
Calvillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
48
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/8 fights
Chin rating based on
13/15 fights
Cooper
Calvillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cooper
Calvillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cooper
Calvillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CooperCalvillo
Strike Zones
Cooper
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedCalvillo
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cooper targets the head (86% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Calvillo targets the body (46% of attacks) — Cooper absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cooper
RND
Calvillo
0/0R00/0
Cooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cooper · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · KO · R2
Angela MaganaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Cynthia CalvilloRating 1.5Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Anna ElmoseRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11