UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Welterweight
VS
42%
Griffin
58%
Brahimaj
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brahimaj
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 42% vs Brahimaj at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brahimaj has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Brahimaj connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin
Brahimaj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Brahimaj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
65.2
39.0
Performance Avg
54.8
37
Quality of Victory
54
74
Momentum Score
85
Griffin
Brahimaj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
3
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance14
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Griffin
Brahimaj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Brahimaj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Griffin
Brahimaj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Griffin
Brahimaj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Brahimaj
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
GriffinBrahimaj
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBrahimaj
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (63% of attacks) — Brahimaj absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Brahimaj targets the head (93% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Brahimaj
0/0R00/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Brahimaj · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5Decision
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