UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben
Birmingham, United Kingdom
18 Oct 2008
Heavyweight
VS
92%
Carwin
8%
Wain
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:31
SC
Shane Carwin
"The Engineer"
12 – 2
6'2"80" reachOrthodox51 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 25
NW
Neil Wain
"Old School"
13 – 4
Well-RoundedNaNOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carwin

Carwin is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Carwin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 70 points.

Carwin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Carwin
Wain
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
80"
Reach
51
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carwin
Wain
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
2.2
68.7
Performance Avg
0.0
70
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Carwin
Wain
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
2Clinch1
11Ground0
Carwin
Wain
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Carwin
Wain
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/17 fights
Carwin
Wain
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carwin
Wain
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carwin
Wain
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume1.3 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure9.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Carwin
Strike Zones
Wain
Carwin
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Wain
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carwin targets the head (85% of attacks) — Wain absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Wain targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carwin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carwin
RND
Wain
0/0R00/0

Carwin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.1L5.5L2008-052008-102009-032010-032010-072011-06
WinLossTrend

Carwin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R2
Brock LesnarRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · KO · R1
Neil WainRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

Wain · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Shane CarwinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

News & Media

Shane Carwin · Neil Wain
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