METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Dodson
49%
Moraes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22 – 12
5'3"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
MM
Marlon Moraes
"Magic"
23 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Marlon MoraeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Dodson · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dodson
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Dodson at 51% vs Moraes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Dodson throws more volume but Moraes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Moraes has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DodsonMoraes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dodson
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dodson
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
21.5
50.7
Performance Avg
47.3
45
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
20
Dodson
Moraes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
4
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
16Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dodson
Moraes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
0
Never stopped
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
11/33 fights
Dodson
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dodson
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dodson
Moraes
Striking6.2 / 4.9Volume4.4 / 4.1Grappling1.0 / 2.6Wrestling0.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure5.3 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Dodson
Strike Zones
Moraes
Dodson
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Moraes
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (69% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the head (44% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dodson
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.5W6.0W5.0W5.0W4.2L5.0W3.6L2.7L4.0L2.8L2017-062018-062019-122021-092022-03
WinLossTrend

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Merab DvalishviliRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

News & Media

John Dodson · Marlon Moraes
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