METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Mexico City, Mexico
29 Mar 2025
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Martinez
5%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:38
★ Official Result
David MartinezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:38
def. Saimon Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martinez
→
Actual result
Martinez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Martinez is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martinez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinezOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martinez
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
+72"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Martinez
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.1
3.4
62.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Martinez
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
3
1
Body
3
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance7
5Clinch0
8Ground0
Martinez
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martinez
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
42
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Martinez
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Martinez
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MartinezOliveira
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (78% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (43% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Martinez · Last 4
Upcoming
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Saimon OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Luan LacerdaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
David MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Daniel MarcosKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Tony GravelyDecision
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