UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Flyweight
VS
30%
Benavidez
70%
Elliott
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elliott
Elliott is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Elliott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elliott has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Benavidez
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+66"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Benavidez
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
36.8
51.4
Performance Avg
37.9
38
Quality of Victory
33
40
Momentum Score
43
Benavidez
Elliott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
4
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance13
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Benavidez
Elliott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
26
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/36 fights
Benavidez
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Benavidez
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
30%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
BenavidezElliott
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedElliott
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (44% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (63% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2Submission
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W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6Decision
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