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UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Flyweight
VS
30%
Benavidez
70%
Elliott
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 Β· 4:08
JB
Joseph Benavidez
28 – 8
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Tim
Tim Elliott
22 – 14
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'7"
CFR 37
β˜… Official Result
Joseph BenavidezwinsSubmissionR1 Β· 4:08
def. Tim Elliott Β· UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
β†’
Actual result
Benavidez wins
Submission Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Elliott is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Elliott connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Elliott has a chin rating of 26 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BenavidezElliott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Benavidez
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+66"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Benavidez
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
36.8
51.4
Performance Avg
37.9
38
Quality of Victory
33
40
Momentum Score
43
Benavidez
Elliott
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
4
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance13
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Benavidez
Elliott
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
26
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/36 fights
Benavidez
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
40
43
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Benavidez
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
30%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Benavidez
Elliott
Striking4.8 / 0.9Volume6.2 / 6.5Grappling2.0 / 4.1Wrestling1.4 / 2.9Submission0.7 / 3.0Pressure4.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Benavidez
Strike Zones
Elliott
Benavidez
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Elliott
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (44% of attacks) β€” Elliott absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Benavidez absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Benavidez
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0

Benavidez Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.1W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.0W5.5L6.3W4.5W5.2W3.2L2.6L5.5L2011-032013-092016-022020-022021-03
WinLossTrend

Elliott Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W2.6L5.5L3.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L5.6W4.6W5.4L5.6W5.2W6.1L2012-052016-122020-052023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Benavidez Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya Β· 2021-03
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 Β· 2020-07
L Β· KO Β· R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo Β· 2020-02
W Β· KO Β· R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw Β· 2019-01

Elliott Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates Β· 2026-05
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
W Β· Sub Β· R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez Β· 2023-12
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Β· 2023-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Β· 2023-06

News & Media

Joseph Benavidez Β· Tim Elliott
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